Description
Current ones are 14,17,22 — those seem to be far from being optimal (according to the meeting time options spreadsheet), and for two people that brings estimated participation levels below 30% (one of which — below 20%).
Switching to 12,16,21 essentialy means to:
- Revert Moving 12:00 UTC time to 14:00 UTC #510,
- Move the remaining two by one hour (probably mostly caused by daylight saving adjustment?).
Data from the tool:
- Expected participation levels for
14,17,22: average:69.0%, stdev:.201, [current]
row:93% 93% 93% 88% 88% 79% 78% 74% 69% 69% 64% 64% 62% 62% 62% 62% 26% 18% - Expected participation levels for
12,16,21: average:72.3%, stdev:.149, [proposed]
row:91% 91% 87% 87% 87% 87% 78% 78% 78% 77% 66% 64% 64% 60% 59% 56% 49% 41% - Expected participation levels for
12,16,22: average:65.3%, stdev:.122,
row:89% 85% 81% 76% 76% 76% 71% 66% 62% 62% 58% 57% 57% 56% 56% 53% 50% 47% - Expected participation levels for
12,21: average:68.7%, stdev:.163,
row:90% 90% 90% 83% 83% 83% 83% 76% 70% 70% 70% 61% 52% 48% 48% 48% 48% 44% - Expected participation levels for
16,21,21: average:80.7%, stdev:.219,
row:95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 94% 94% 90% 85% 80% 80% 63% 45% 34% 28%
Each value in a «row» stands for expected participation level of one person, rows are anonymized and sorted from most included (high percentage) to most excluded (low percentage).
Upd: exact predicted participation levels (non-anonymized) are available on the second sheet of the private document.
12,16,22 works a bit better for minimizing the stdev and bringing everyone as close to 50% participation plank as possible, but that lowers the average expected participation by about 4% instead of increasing it (as 12,16,21 does), which means about 1¼ persons less on a random meeting in average.
/cc @Trott, @fhinkel, @nodejs/tsc
Note: data is based on the current values in the table, updated at 2018-07-18 06:30 UTC.
I will update this in case if anything changes in the data.