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ESMAP-World-Bank-Group/EPM

Electricity Planning Model (EPM)

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Test workflows GitHub Pages License: CC0-1.0 Size

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Full documentation is available here.

What is EPM?

EPM (Electricity Planning Model) is a least-cost power system planning tool developed by the Power Systems Planning Group at the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP) of the World Bank. As power system planning is a key activity for energy ministries and utilities worldwide, EPM serves as a decision-making tool for World Bank staff and clients.

Objectives

EPM helps answer critical questions for power system planners:

  • Capacity Planning — Optimal technology mix, investment timeline, and geographic distribution across zones
  • System Operations — Hourly dispatch, generation costs by zone and technology, total NPV of expansion and operations
  • Policy Analysis — Impact of renewable targets, cross-border interconnections, and CO₂ constraints under different scenarios

How It Works

EPM is formulated in the General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS). Input data is provided via CSV files, and results are generated as CSV outputs with automatic visualizations. Knowledge of GAMS programming is not required for basic runs.

EPM minimizes the costs of expanding and operating a power system while meeting technical, economic, and environmental requirements:

  • Fixed costs: Annualized capital and fixed O&M
  • Variable costs: Variable O&M and fuel costs
  • Dispatch optimization: Hourly generation scheduling
  • Geographic scope: Multi-zone with cross-border exchanges
  • Reserve co-optimization: Spinning reserves allocation
  • Policy constraints: Emissions limits, fuel constraints, renewable targets, carbon prices

Example Outputs

Note: These examples are for illustrative purposes only. Numbers should not be used quantitatively.

EPM produces the following outputs:

Output Type Description
Capacity Mix Evolution of generation capacity by technology
System Costs NPV analysis and cost comparisons across scenarios
Energy Generation GWh production by technology and zone
Dispatch Hourly generation scheduling
Interconnections Cross-border power flows
Interactive Maps Geographic visualization of the power system

See the Output & Postprocessing documentation for sample visualizations.

Getting Started

Install EPM and choose how you want to run it:

Method Best for
Windows Installer One-click setup on Windows — installs everything automatically
Dashboard Visual interface for quick runs, no command line needed (under development)
Python CLI Scenarios, automation, Monte Carlo
GAMS Studio Model development and GAMS debugging

Full installation instructions are available here.


Works deploying EPM

  • Suski, A., Remy, T., Chattopadhyay, D., Song, C. S., Jaques, I., Keskes, T., & Li, Y. (2021). Analyzing Electric Vehicle Load Impact on Power Systems: Modeling Analysis and a Case Study for Maldives. IEEE Access, 9, 125640-125657.
  • World Bank. 2021. The Value of Trade and Regional Investments in The Pan-Arab Electricity Market : Integrating Power Systems and Building Economies. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/36614
  • Timilsina, Govinda; Deluque Curiel, Ilka; Chattopadhyay, Deb. 2021. How Much Does Latin America Gain from Enhanced Cross-Border Electricity Trade in the Short Run?. Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9692. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/35729
  • Huang, Z., Smolenova, I., Chattopadhyay, D., Govindarajalu, C., De Wit, J., Remy, T., & Curiel, I. D. (2021). ACT on RE+ FLEX: Accelerating Coal Transition Through Repurposing Coal Plants Into Renewable and Flexibility Centers. IEEE Access, 9, 84811-84827.
  • Chattopadhyay, D., Chitkara, P., Curiel, I. D., & Draugelis, G. (2020). Cross-Border Interconnectors in South Asia: Market-Oriented Dispatch and Planning. IEEE Access, 8, 120361-120374.
  • Remy, T., & Chattopadhyay, D. (2020). Promoting better economics, renewables and CO2 reduction through trade: A case study for the Eastern Africa Power Pool. Energy for Sustainable Development, 57, 81-97.
  • Islam, M. E., Khan, M. M. Z., Chattopadhyay, D., & Väyrynen, J. (2021). Impact of COVID-19 on dispatch and capacity plan: A case study for Bangladesh. The Electricity Journal, 34(5), 106955.
  • Islam, M. E., Khan, M. M. Z., Chattopadhyay, D., & Draugelis, G. (2020, August). Economic benefits of cross border power trading: A case study for Bangladesh. In 2020 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting (PESGM) (pp. 1-5). IEEE.
  • Spyrou, E., Hobbs, B. F., Bazilian, M. D., & Chattopadhyay, D. (2019). Planning power systems in fragile and conflict-affected states. Nature energy, 4(4), 300-310.
  • World Bank Group. Poland Energy Transition: The Path to Sustainability in the Electricity and Heating Sector. World Bank, 2018.

Citing EPM

Please cite EPM as:

Chattopadhyay, D., De Sisternes, F., Oguah, S. K. W., World Bank Electricity Planning Model (EPM) Mathematical Formulation, 2018, Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP), International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, The World Bank, Washington DC

@article{
  author = {Chattopadhyay, Debabrata and De Sisternes, Fernando and Oguah, Samuel Kofi Wilson},
  title = {World Bank Electricity Planning Model (EPM) Mathematical Formulation},
  year = {2018},
  institution = {Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP), International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, The World Bank},
  address = {Washington DC}
}

License

Licensed under the Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

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